Estimation of GHG emissions and costs in Sinaloa: Towards sustainable economic and environmental policies
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.56294/dm2024.682Keywords:
Greenhouse gas emissions, Economic growth, Energy consumption, Environmental sustainabilityAbstract
Introduction: Climate change and its impacts have created the need for policies that balance economic growth with environmental sustainability. This study focuses on the relationship between economic growth and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the state of Sinaloa, located in northwestern Mexico, during the period 2003–2021.
Methods: Using historical energy consumption data and the State Quarterly Economic Activity Indicator, GHG emissions were estimated through an official national tool for emissions calculation. An economic cost was assigned using rates proposed by a center specialized in environmental and economic analysis in Mexico.
Results: The findings reveal a strong positive correlation (R=0.893) between the State Quarterly Economic Activity Indicator and emissions, highlighting that Sinaloa's economic growth heavily depends on energy-intensive activities. Over the period analyzed, emissions increased by 83.8%.
Conclusions: This study underscores the importance of designing public policies that reduce emissions without hindering economic development, promoting sustainable strategies that contribute to Mexico's commitments under the Paris Agreement.
References
1. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Paris Agreement [Internet]. 2016 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/the-paris-agreement
2. Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (SEMARNAT). Contribuciones Nacionalmente Determinadas de México. Ciudad de México: SEMARNAT; 2020.
3. Secretaría de Relaciones Exteriores (SRE). Documento de posición de México para la COP28 [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://www.gob.mx/sre/documentos/documento-de-posicion-de-mexico-para-la-cop28
4. Diario Oficial de la Federación (DOF). Decreto por el que se reforman y adicionan diversas disposiciones de la Ley General de Cambio Climático [Internet]. 2024 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://www.dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5739992&fecha=30/09/2024#gsc.tab=0
5. Global Carbon Atlas. CO₂ emissions from fuel combustion [Internet]. 2021 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: http://www.globalcarbonatlas.org/
6. Secretaría de Energía (SENER). Prospectiva del sector eléctrico 2020-2034. Ciudad de México: SENER; 2020.
7. Centro Mario Molina. Tarifas sociales y ambientales del carbono en México. Ciudad de México: Centro Mario Molina; 2019.
8. Stern N. The economics of climate change: The Stern review. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2007.
9. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate change 2021: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2021.
10. Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI). Indicador Trimestral de la Actividad Económica Estatal (ITAEE) [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://www.inegi.org.mx/
11. Secretaría de Energía (SENER). Bases de datos del consumo energético por entidad federativa [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://www.gob.mx/sener
12. Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (SEMARNAT). Calculadora RENE [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://www.gob.mx/semarnat
13. Kuznets S. Economic growth and income inequality. Am Econ Rev. 1955;45(1):1-28.
14. Dinda S. Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: A survey. Ecol Econ. 2004;49(4):431-55. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.02.011
15. Xu B, Lin B. Regional differences in the impact of economic growth on CO₂ emissions: A case study of China. J Clean Prod. 2016;112:1454-62. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.03.003
16. Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (SEMARNAT). Inventario Nacional de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero 2020. Ciudad de México: SEMARNAT; 2021.
17. Zhou X, Zhang J, Li J. Industrial structure and carbon emission intensity in China: A provincial panel data analysis. Appl Energy. 2013;112:731-40. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.01.018
18. Secretaría de Energía (SENER). Informe de consumo energético 2021 [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2025 Jan 13]. Available from: https://www.gob.mx/sener.
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Abril Yuriko Herrera Ríos, Pamela Herrera Ríos, Reyna Christian Sánchez Parra (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The article is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Unless otherwise stated, associated published material is distributed under the same licence.